Next leader out of power before 2027?
Netanyahu - Israel PM
$1.23M Volume
Starmer - UK PM
$831K Volume
Takaichi - Japan PM
$544K Volume
Putin - Russia President
$528K Volume
Newsom - California Governor
$442K Volume
Trump - USA President
$388K Volume
Abbas - President of Palestine
$307K Volume
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
$258K Volume
Sánchez - Spanish PM
$246K Volume
Lecornu - France PM
$242K Volume
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
$239K Volume
None before 2027
$226K Volume
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
$217K Volume
Macron - France President
$213K Volume
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
$195K Volume
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
$195K Volume
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
$179K Volume
Petro - Colombia President
$174K Volume
Merz - German Chancellor
$159K Volume
al-Sharaa - Syria President
$156K Volume
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
$152K Volume
Albanese - Australia PM
$142K Volume
Milei - Argentina President
$137K Volume
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
$101K Volume
This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
- Resolver: official source.
- Deadline: closing date in UTC.
- Disputed outcomes: handled by moderators within 48 hours.

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