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Prediction markets
14 active markets
· category “Science”
How it works
How to trade
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
1
24%
Yes
No
2
68%
Yes
No
$2.96M
Vol.
Dec 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$37
52 trading now
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
4%
chance
Yes
No
$640K
Vol.
Dec 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
53 trading now
How many Tornadoes in the US in June?
220–249
37%
160–189
30%
7 more
$4.3K
Vol.
Jul 8
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$68
36 trading now
How far ahead of Google’s quantum benchmark will ECDSA.fail get by June 30?
99%
chance
Yes
No
$5.3K
Vol.
Jun 30
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
48 trading now
Precipitation in Seattle in June?
1-1.5"
58%
1.5-2"
44%
5 more
$4.6K
Vol.
Jun 30
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$43
34 trading now
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
11%
chance
Yes
No
$9.5K
Vol.
Dec 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$218
38 trading now
FDA approves GSK & Spero Therapeutics' Tebipenem HBr?
66%
chance
Yes
No
$4.6K
Vol.
Jun 18
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$38
47 trading now
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
10%
chance
Yes
No
$96K
Vol.
Mar 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$263
45 trading now
Precipitation in London in June?
40-50mm
42%
50-60mm
38%
5 more
$4.0K
Vol.
Jun 30
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$60
44 trading now
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
32%
chance
Yes
No
$1.7K
Vol.
Dec 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$79
39 trading now
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
3%
chance
Yes
No
$110K
Vol.
Dec 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
46 trading now
Natural Disaster in 2026?
22%
chance
Yes
No
$223K
Vol.
Dec 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$116
57 trading now
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