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Prediction markets
62 active markets
· category “Trump”
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Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Kevin Warsh
99%
Judy Shelton
1%
33 more
$64.5M
Vol.
Oct 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
65 trading now
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
40%
chance
Yes
No
$3.83M
Vol.
Jun 30
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$63
55 trading now
How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?
No vote by Dec 31/Withdrawn
1%
Yes
No
≤49
1%
Yes
No
$242K
Vol.
Dec 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
45 trading now
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...?
99%
chance
Yes
No
$232K
Vol.
Jun 30
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
46 trading now
Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?
Donald Trump
99%
JD Vance
99%
18 more
$576K
Vol.
Aug 1
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
53 trading now
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 31
14%
July 31
4%
2 more
$26.9M
Vol.
Dec 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$185
75 trading now
Trump out as President by June 30?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$7.60M
Vol.
Jun 30
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
56 trading now
Who will Trump speak to in June?
Vladimir Putin
99%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
99%
19 more
$562K
Vol.
Jun 30
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
52 trading now
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
US x Iran Ceasefire
99%
New Supreme Leader of Iran
99%
2 more
$736K
Vol.
Oct 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
56 trading now
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?
99%
chance
Yes
No
$166K
Vol.
Jun 30
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
54 trading now
US government rescinds Claude Fable 5 foreigner ban by…?
52%
chance
Yes
No
$27K
Vol.
Jul 1
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$49
41 trading now
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$581K
Vol.
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
49 trading now
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