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Prediction markets
17 active markets
· category “Business”
How it works
How to trade
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)
70%
1 (25 bps)
21%
11 more
$35.6M
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$36
75 trading now
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$3.57M
Vol.
Jun 30
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
58 trading now
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
SpaceX
88%
xAI
26%
72 more
$2.41M
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$29
50 trading now
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?
Google
45%
OpenAI
32%
12 more
$39K
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$56
41 trading now
How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?
450k–475k
37%
425k–450k
31%
7 more
$73K
Vol.
Jun 30
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$67
46 trading now
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
40%
chance
Yes
No
$118K
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$63
45 trading now
AI bubble burst by...?
December 31, 2026
21%
March 31, 2026
1%
1 more
$2.88M
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$121
62 trading now
Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?
CME
99%
LedgerX
99%
7 more
$120K
Vol.
Jun 30
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
55 trading now
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?
29%
chance
Yes
No
$53K
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$87
54 trading now
Which banks will fail by end of 2026?
Santander
8%
Morgan Stanley
7%
17 more
$24K
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
47 trading now
Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?
iRobot
99%
Workhorse
46%
13 more
$195K
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
51 trading now
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
7%
chance
Yes
No
$76K
Vol.
Jan 1
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
57 trading now
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