prophesy
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Prediction markets
11 active markets
· category “Middle East”
How it works
How to trade
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
99%
chance
Yes
No
$10.9M
Vol.
Jun 30
middle-east
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
68 trading now
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei
84%
Reza Pahlavi
3%
121 more
$15.9M
Vol.
Dec 31
middle-east
Potential payout
$25
→
$30
56 trading now
Israel military action against Yemen by...?
9%
chance
Yes
No
$2.21M
Vol.
Jun 30
middle-east
Potential payout
$25
→
$278
66 trading now
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?
10%
chance
Yes
No
$26K
Vol.
middle-east
Potential payout
$25
→
$250
41 trading now
Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?
December 31
7%
July 31
2%
2 more
$62K
Vol.
Dec 31
middle-east
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
46 trading now
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Somaliland
32%
Egypt
28%
10 more
$723K
Vol.
Dec 31
middle-east
Potential payout
$25
→
$78
58 trading now
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
20%
chance
Yes
No
$108K
Vol.
Dec 31
middle-east
Potential payout
$25
→
$128
51 trading now
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$152K
Vol.
Jun 30
middle-east
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
50 trading now
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...?
December 31, 2026
25%
June 30, 2026
1%
1 more
$435K
Vol.
Dec 31
middle-east
Potential payout
$25
→
$100
58 trading now
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
12%
chance
Yes
No
$151K
Vol.
Dec 31
middle-east
Potential payout
$25
→
$208
46 trading now
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
4%
chance
Yes
No
$34K
Vol.
Dec 31
middle-east
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
45 trading now
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